According to the latest estimation by global market research firm TrendForce, the total value of VR market (including hard- and software) will reach US$6.7 billion in 2016 and will proceed to skyrocket to US$70 billion in 2020.
“These explosive growth projections actually do not sufficiently reflect just how hot the VR industry is right now,” said Jason Tsai, TrendForce wearable device analyst.
“The figures do not include the value of non-commercial uses of VR technology. For example, the industry is currently pushing the development of free software and do-it-yourself apps. While these projects do not immediately generate revenue for the developers, they have a vital role in the promotion market growth and innovations.”
Tsai pointed out that the VR industry is at its infancy, so companies behind major social media platforms such as Facebook and YouTube will provide software tools and support services for the production of VR videos. People’s habit of creating, uploading and sharing their works on these platforms will result in the growth of user-generated VR content that will in turn attract more consumers. In sum, social sharing will make VR technologies more influential and more tied to social media platforms.
Other media and entertainment organizations are experimenting with VR technologies as well. National Basketball Association, for example, has introduced VR broadcasting this season to provide fans at home an experience akin to watching games live at the arena. News media giant New York Times has also launched, NYT VR, a free smartphone app that provides 360 degree, VR news videos. NYT VR is a non-commercial venture that uses this emerging technology to get consumers of news more personally involved in reported events and issues.
Tsai added: “The development of the VR industry is not solely based on wearable devices launched by major hardware vendors such as Sony, Oculus and HTC. Much of the growth drive also comes from independent developers that contribute innovative apps to the VR industry. Their market value is not often reflected in the data. Since making apps does not have a high entry barrier, there has been a proliferation of non-commercial software made by students, independent developers and content providers.”
“Instead of being guided by immediate commercial interests, they aim to attract consumers’ attention with innovative products. Major device vendors are therefore aggressively courting these independent developers. Collaboration with academic institutions is also another way for the industry to diversify the VR content to create more value.”
